If we wish to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is a great sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers plus some nice guaranteed profitable bets can be found if you know where and when to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your hard earned money from you and there are many inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in many ways talk about timing. The quicker the purchase price appears the much more likely you will see a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do plenty of research as soccer has now be a big earner to them. They have to do this because they are only too aware that the serious punters have grown to be much shrewder in this market and can exploit any snippets of news that may provide them with an advantage. They advertise heavily within the tabloids.
Whereas in some minor sports there may be just one odds compiler doing work for the bookmaker soccer is too lucrative for this any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for that big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will provide odds on soccer, its a higher revenue turnover sport.
Such is their turnover on the rising IBO88 that Ladbrokes along with other such big bookmakers are willing to require a ‘big’ bet on the results of a match. This can be clearly great news for the arb maker. Which means that the utmost bets they will accept on a bet are much higher.
There are lots of varieties of soccer bets. Firstly you have the match winner. This is split into 3 results, win, lose or draw. Then there are the very first goal scorer as well as the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full-time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total numbers of yellow and red cards etc. In reality anything where odds can be set to will offer you a betting opportunity.
So which are the best soccer bets to find? Firstly forget about predicting the match score, there are way too many outcomes. The very first goal scorer is a waste of time too. Both these types of bets are heavily advertised however are for mug punters only, the percentages consistently available are poor, the bookmakers regularly overtaking 15% profit on the book. These bets have far too many possible outcomes. We are looking for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The best way to play the soccer marketplace is to open up accounts with European bookmakers since the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is an excellent source of sure bets. They both have strong opinions on this sport. They will likely price in the sport in their own country as well as the matches in foreign countries. Anything to produce a profit.
Italy, for instance is even more soccer crazy compared to the UK, with newspapers focused on the sport. Everyone thinks they know best with this subject and egos get in the form of sensible pricing. This really is great news for us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where since they may well have greater detailed expertise in the comings and goings in their countries these are relying on third parties to collate info on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is at midweek games between groups of different nationalities. There is a tendency in punters to get patriotic when it comes to events in which the opposition are ‘foreign’. The likelihood of the house team get talked up and the odds could get skewed inside their favour because the weight of money is overly wagered in their direction.
With that in mind the large bookmakers offer an early price, they will often advertise it in the national papers and generally stick with it. Because of this a bench mark has become set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or try to tempt cash in their direction by offering different odds. If this type of would happen the arb may be available for a considerable amount of time.
There will always be discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers have a tendency to stick around the same price. They figure there exists safety in numbers. But bear in mind these are ‘guessing’ just what the odds ought to be just like you and me. They are basing their opinion on past experience plus they might utilise statistical formulae however they still have to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can have it wrong and other firms can take a completely different look at the outcome of any game. A totally different view will only result in a slight variation within the odds but this can be sufficient to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to start with the greater obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They are protected by many different bookmakers all over Europe. This does however give a complication. Although really simple for locating arbs, the mere simple fact that you concentrate on these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you are going to get spotted by the bookmakers in the event you concentrate your action here.
Also they will be hesitant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have done little research. On the other hand it really is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You need to weigh up the pros and cons with this strategy.
This can be a fairly obscure section of betting and when someone would be to check your bank account over a number of months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your own account it might ring alarm bells. The motto here is to dilute the bets by betting on as many different kind of sport and events as you can which means that your accounts have varied bets upon them. This shouldn’t be considered a problem as many different sports are great for sure bets.
The more prominent European ties will even produce arbs and they are generally not as likely to bring in awareness of you together with the maximum bets is going to be higher.
As before you cannot control whether the individual bets win or lose but soccer is actually a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to a single winning one can be useful on your own account. The point the following is that not many people are thinking about the lower European divisions and it also may become clear the betting pattern is a bit unusual. This is especially valid if your bets towards the maximum permitted.
Injury news can become a lucrative area in soccer. Consider it. When a player fails a late fitness test on the Saturday and then he is the teams star striker this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play in the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. However the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert for this and altered prices because the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted in any way. Either way arbs were available. This type of last minute frantic activity is extremely keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair in which you can work as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the numerous soccer internet sites. Alternatively satellite television stations usually have comprehensive news coverage of all the games and therefore are quick to offer any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, however, not all concurrently, only one at a time so creating sure bets.
Within this scenario where costs are changing bet on the old price first. The newest cost is one that wont change the old price is the one that is about to therefore may be lost if you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be all about timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then your arbs are more inclined to appear.
Recently the English referees have grown to be more lenient within the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for your total variety of bookings in a game. A few of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly yet others failed to. This will change the bet ranges applied for total bookings.
Let’s glance at the red and yellow card market. Should you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for any yellow card and 25 points to get a red. A player can get yourself a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting here is normally split into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say chances of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 and also over 30 points, the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a record of animosity in between the teams in which case the odds are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this sort of bet is not going to figure strongly within your plans. Also it is unusual to locate information being issued that will affect the total bookings bet. But an easy bit of news like the plan for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to one or more arb. The conclusion will not be to expect excessive sure betting activity from your issuing of red and yellow cards but it simple enough to check the chances.